thanksgiving picks

I took a beating last week but hope to rebound strong. The  3 games on thanksgiving have 2 pretty good matchups and one that I suggest families turn off and have their thanksgiving dinner. Below are my picks

Green Bay 27 Detroit 20 (4). The Lions have teased us this season and their real losing selves have shown the last two games and will continue tomorrow
Ravens 17 Steelers 14 (3). Always a close game with these two teams.
Cowboys 20 Raiders 6 (10).  An average team against a lousy team will make your turkey hard to digest if you watch it. Families and friends playing football in their backyard will be more entertaining than this game.

WEEK 12

Even though six of my picks were losses last week, I still feel last week was a good week since one of my picks (the panther patriot game) had me not only picking the winner right but I had the exact score right as well. This is the 3rd time that I have done this and if I can do it again this week I may just move out to vegas. I already picked New Orleans to win with a confidence of 13 and below are the rest of my picks for this very cold weekend of football.
Steelers 17 Browns 14 (3). Steeler pride will be just enough (W)
Lions 27 Tampa 14 (14). Lions blew it last week at will rebound this week. (L)
Packers 17 Vikings 10 (5). Tolzien throws for 200 yards and will have no turnovers. That is all that is needed to beat Minnesota. TIE
Chiefs 20 Chargers 7 (12). Back at home the Chiefs will get back in their winning ways.(L)
Bears 27 Rams 20 (9).(L)
Panthers 20 Dolphins 17 (4). Close one but Panthers will win with defense. (W)
Jets 21 Ravens 20 (7). This season for the Jets has been win one lose one. Last week they lost. I'm sticking with the trend. (L)
Texans 21 Jaguars 17 (8). I didn't think Houston was so bad they could lose to the Raiders and they did. Their recovery from this downward spiral starts tomorrow. (L)
Raiders 24 Titans 20 (6). (L)
Cardinals 28 Colts 7 (10). The Cardinals are flying under the radar and getting better every week.(W)
Giants 20 Dallas 17 (1). Two average to below average teams facing off. The Giants play better in the cold. (L)
New England 21 Denver 20 (2).Same reason as the prior pick applies. Peyton Manning especially struggles in cold weather in the north east. (W)
49ers 28 Redskins 7 (11). 49ers feel they got screwed by officiating last week and Washington will pay for it(W)

6 WINS 7 LOSSES 1 TIE

week 11

I picked Indy to win with a confidence level of 3 and the rest of the games this week are going to be very difficult to pick. Here we go.
Bills 20 Jets 14 (4). Jets win every other game. They won their last game. W
Baltimore 24 Bears 17 (10). Bears have yet to show they can win without Cutler. L
Bengals 17 Browns 10 (11). W
Redskins 21 Eagles 17 (1). The Eagles have lost 10 in a row at home. Make it 11. L
Lions 28 Steelers 14 (12). Steelers defense is eroding quick. L
Bucanneers 21 Falcons 14 (2). Falcons are the most disappointing team this season. W
Arizona 28 Jaguars 10 (14). W
Houston 21 Raiders 10 (9). Houston is struggling but the Raiders with Pryor are a near disaster and without him are a complete one. L
Chargers 24 Dolphins 14 (13). The Dolphins afterward accuse Chargers of bullying them. L
Saints 21 49ers 20 (5). Saints win with a last second field goal. W
Giants 28 Packers 17 (8). Giants are slowly improving and Packers without Rodgers will quickly regress. W
Seattle 28 Vikings 10 (15). No one beats Seattle at home. W
Chiefs 17 Broncos 14 (7). This is not an upset. The Chiefs front 4 is outstanding and Peyton Manning has a bad leg. Chiefs will create turnovers to win the game. L
Carolina 24 Patriots 20 (6). This is not an upset either and the reasons are the same as the Chiefs Broncos game. Panthers defense is ranked 2nd in the league and will be the reason the Panther win. W

week 10

Last week was rough. Should have done more research to see that Buffalo was starting their 3rd string QB with a last name of Teul. This week I did pick the Vikings to win with a confidence level of 1 and below are the rest of my picks.

Seattle 21 Atlanta 10 (14). The downhill run for Atlanta continues. (W)
Bears 20 Lions 17  (2). Tough one but the Bears with Cutler back at home  prevail on a last second field goal. (L)
Eagles 24 Packers 14 (3). This is not an upset. No Rodgers and Matthews means no win for the Packers.  (W)
Tenessee 24 Jaguars 13 (13). (L)
Colts 24 Rams 20 (5). The Rams are improving but Andrew Luck finds a way to win. (L)
Giants 27 Raiders 10 (11). Raiders were terrible last week and it continues today (W)
Steelers 17 Bills 14(4). This may be the last game the Steelers win this season. (W)
Ravens 24 Bengals 17 (6). The Ravens are too proud to lose two in a row and Dalton still makes too many mistakes. (W)
49ers 27 Panthers 24 (9). Carolina is the most improved team this year in the NFC but I'm taking the home team (L)
Cardinals 28 Texans 14 (12). Another downhill run continues. (W)
Denver 24 Chargers 20 (8). Another close one but I'm counting on Phillip Rivers to turnover the ball. (W)
Saints 27 Dallas 20 (7). Confidence level would be higher if Sproles were playing. Still Drew Brees should have success against Dallas's defense which hasn't shut down any good quarterback yet.(W)
Miami 20 Bucs 14 (10). (L)

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week 9

thanks to the incompetence of Andy Dalton I already have a loss and 9 conf level points down the drain . I need perfection with these picks. L

Bills 21 Chiefs 17 (1). Chiefs winning streak ends today  L
Dallas 30 Vikings 10 (10). Dallas defense struggles when the opposing teams has someobody good at QB. Christian Ponder is a nobody. W
Titans 20 Rams 17 (2). W
Jets 21 Saints 20 (3). May look like an upset but I don't like the way New Orleans plays on the road. W
Chargers 24 Redskins 20(8). Redskins need more consistency out of RG3 still. L
Carolina 24 Falcons 14 (11). I give up on my superbowl prediction. The Falcons are nosediving. W
Raiders 28 Eagles 17 (7) . Eagles can't win at home or anywhere else. L
Seahawks 30 Bucs 7 (13). Blowout! W
Ravens 20 Browns 14 (6). L
Patriots 21 Steelers 10 (5). Steelers offensive line will soon get Rothlisberger injured. W
Colts 20 Texans 10 (4). An inexperienced QB and an injury to Cushing is too much for Houston to overcome  W
Packers 30 Bears 17 (12). Bears don't have Cutler and Packers at home do have Rodgers. Case closed. L

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