My upset pick didn't quite pan out but at least the Chargers covered the spread and we now clearly have the 4 best teams in the conference finals. Below are my picks .
Spread Denver +4. New England 27 Denver 21 (1). Tough one to pick not because of the quarterback match up but because both teams on defense have vulnerabilities. New England is ranked 27th against the run and Denver is without their starting corner back which will force them to play either Quentin Jammer or Champ Bailey who are past their prime. I expect a big game from Nosean Moreno for Denver and Julian Edelman for New England. The Patriots will make the fewer mistakes that will allow them to win the game and the psuedo intellectuals at ESPN (hello Skip Brainless and Screamin A Smith) will reduce a complex game to Peyton Manning not being able to win in the playoffs.
Spread Seattle +3.5
49ers 17 Seattle 7 (2). The best rivalry in football are these two teams and this must drive Commissioner Goodell crazy because both teams win with their defense. Both teams will play ground and pound football the majority of the game but when they go to the pass,the 49ers with Crabtree and Boldin and wide receiver will make more plays. Seattle QB Russell Wilson has struggled the last 4 games and the 49er defense will exploit this by making him throw errant passes on the run. Everyone wants a good game but I don't think this one wil be close. The 49ers will take control in the 2nd half and win going away. I wonder if Pete Carroll and Jim Harbough will shake hands after the game.
If the 49ers win like I think they will and they have their best players healthy they will win the superbowl.
Sunday, January 19, 2014
Saturday, January 11, 2014
next round of playoffs
Thanks to the astonishing incompetence of Andy Dalton my perfect play off prediction goal will not be met. I will still challenge myself this week by picking games and going against the spread to see how I do.
Seattle 27 Saints 17 (spread Seattle + 8) conf level 4. Russell Wilson struggled late in the season but at home if he plays turnover free football the Seahawk defense should take care of the rest and Seattle pulls away in the 4th quarter.
Patriots 24 Colts 14 (spread NE+ 7.5) conf level 3. Tough one because eventually the Patriots injuries to Wolfork and Gronkowski will catch up with them but for the Colts to win Andrew Luck has to play error free and I don't trust him yet to do it.
49ers 17 Panthers 14 ( 49ers-3). conf level 2 Best match up. Two great defenses keep the score low. The improved play of Justin Smith on defense and Michael Crabtree on offense will be just enough for the 49ers to win.
Chargers 27 Denver 24 (Broncos +9). conf level 1. I'm going for the upset. Denver's below average defense will get exposed and the Chargers will maintain long scoring drives which will keep Peyton Manning off the field.
Seattle 27 Saints 17 (spread Seattle + 8) conf level 4. Russell Wilson struggled late in the season but at home if he plays turnover free football the Seahawk defense should take care of the rest and Seattle pulls away in the 4th quarter.
Patriots 24 Colts 14 (spread NE+ 7.5) conf level 3. Tough one because eventually the Patriots injuries to Wolfork and Gronkowski will catch up with them but for the Colts to win Andrew Luck has to play error free and I don't trust him yet to do it.
49ers 17 Panthers 14 ( 49ers-3). conf level 2 Best match up. Two great defenses keep the score low. The improved play of Justin Smith on defense and Michael Crabtree on offense will be just enough for the 49ers to win.
Chargers 27 Denver 24 (Broncos +9). conf level 1. I'm going for the upset. Denver's below average defense will get exposed and the Chargers will maintain long scoring drives which will keep Peyton Manning off the field.
Friday, January 3, 2014
playoffs
For the regular season I had
151 wins 93 losses and 1 tie for1319 points. I'm sure that I have defeated my rival Mr. Slag (not official yet) but I have already looked forward to the playoffs and plan to get every pick right starting with this weekend. Below are my picks which I may call Paul's perfect playoff picks.
Colts 23 Chiefs 14 (4). Under the radar the Colts have greatly improved their defense. Andrew Luck will not have to be great for the Colts to win this one.
Saints 27 Eagles 17 (1). I am aware that New Orleans struggles playing in outdoor cold weather. It will be in the twenties when they play tomorrow but no rain is forecasted which will give Rob Ryan the perfect opportunity to blitz Nick Foles often. Foles at times struggled against the Cowboys blitz last week and Dallas has the worst defense ever. Against New Orleans 4th ranked defense the Eagles will turnover the ball and the Saints will finally get a road win.
Bengals 21 Chargers 10 (3). San Diego barely beat the Chiefs at home with the Chiefs resting their best players and they still needed the referees to help them out. No help is coming in this game as the Bengals defense makes Phillip Rivers looks lethargic which is not difficult to do.
49ers 20 Packers 17 (2). The frozen tundra of Lambeau field will produce a pretty good game. Even with Rodgers healthy I don't see the Packers without Matthews at linebacker being able to stop Colin Kapernick and the 49er offense. Antoin Boldin will have a big game.
151 wins 93 losses and 1 tie for1319 points. I'm sure that I have defeated my rival Mr. Slag (not official yet) but I have already looked forward to the playoffs and plan to get every pick right starting with this weekend. Below are my picks which I may call Paul's perfect playoff picks.
Colts 23 Chiefs 14 (4). Under the radar the Colts have greatly improved their defense. Andrew Luck will not have to be great for the Colts to win this one.
Saints 27 Eagles 17 (1). I am aware that New Orleans struggles playing in outdoor cold weather. It will be in the twenties when they play tomorrow but no rain is forecasted which will give Rob Ryan the perfect opportunity to blitz Nick Foles often. Foles at times struggled against the Cowboys blitz last week and Dallas has the worst defense ever. Against New Orleans 4th ranked defense the Eagles will turnover the ball and the Saints will finally get a road win.
Bengals 21 Chargers 10 (3). San Diego barely beat the Chiefs at home with the Chiefs resting their best players and they still needed the referees to help them out. No help is coming in this game as the Bengals defense makes Phillip Rivers looks lethargic which is not difficult to do.
49ers 20 Packers 17 (2). The frozen tundra of Lambeau field will produce a pretty good game. Even with Rodgers healthy I don't see the Packers without Matthews at linebacker being able to stop Colin Kapernick and the 49er offense. Antoin Boldin will have a big game.
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