Thanks to the astonishing incompetence of Andy Dalton my perfect play off prediction goal will not be met. I will still challenge myself this week by picking games and going against the spread to see how I do.
Seattle 27 Saints 17 (spread Seattle + 8) conf level 4. Russell Wilson struggled late in the season but at home if he plays turnover free football the Seahawk defense should take care of the rest and Seattle pulls away in the 4th quarter.
Patriots 24 Colts 14 (spread NE+ 7.5) conf level 3. Tough one because eventually the Patriots injuries to Wolfork and Gronkowski will catch up with them but for the Colts to win Andrew Luck has to play error free and I don't trust him yet to do it.
49ers 17 Panthers 14 ( 49ers-3). conf level 2 Best match up. Two great defenses keep the score low. The improved play of Justin Smith on defense and Michael Crabtree on offense will be just enough for the 49ers to win.
Chargers 27 Denver 24 (Broncos +9). conf level 1. I'm going for the upset. Denver's below average defense will get exposed and the Chargers will maintain long scoring drives which will keep Peyton Manning off the field.
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